Alabama vs. Georgia prediction, pick, odds, spread, line for 2022 college football national championship game

The National College Football Playoff Championship is fast approaching Monday night in Indianapolis, with No. 1 Alabama taking on No. 3 Georgia at Lucas Oil Stadium. This national title matchup is a rematch of their meeting in the SEC Championship Game on December 4, a game in which Crimson Tide, seeking its second straight national title and seventh with coach Nick Saban, won 41. -24.

The Tide earned its place in Monday’s national title game thanks to a 27-6 victory over No. 4 Cincinnati in the Cotton Bowl semifinal that saw running back Brian Robinson Jr. rush for 204 yards, the most of his career. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs dominated No. 2 Michigan 34-11 in the Orange Bowl semifinal. Starting quarterback Stetson Bennett threw for 313 yards and three touchdowns in the victory and provided the much-needed balance in a run-building offense.

What should you expect in Indianapolis on Monday night? Let’s analyze the game and make selections up and against the spread.

Keys to the CFP National Championship: How Alabama Beats Georgia | How Georgia beats Alabama

Alabama vs. Georgia: what you need to know

What went wrong ?: The first game between these two teams, a 41-24 victory for the Tide in Atlanta, saw the Bulldogs’ defense collapse for the first time all season. Regarded for much of the season as an all-time great unit, he failed to bring Crimson Tide quarterback Bryce Young to the ground once in defeat.

“Ultimately, we want to create pressure,” Georgia defensive coordinator Dan Lanning said. “We want to be able to go after Bryce. As for how to do it, I don’t want to reveal our secrets just yet, but wait until the game to find out. We want to build pressure. And there are certainly a lot of different ways to do it. And he’s really good at avoiding them. Hurry. And they did unique things to protect it. We have to attack it a little differently, but how we do it, there are a lot of different ways. We can do it. “

The strategy is simple: bring more than four. The Bulldogs didn’t bring much of five or six players into the SEC title game, most likely because they had been very successful bringing in four for much of the season. And it’s not that Alabama’s offensive line was playing well before that game. Expect linebackers Nolan Smith, Nakobe Dean, and Quay Walker to be big pieces of the puzzle this time around.

Robinson’s breaking game: Alabama’s best running back on the depth chart was the focal point of Tide’s offense against the Bearcats, allowing Saban’s team to control the pace of the Cotton Bowl early on. While Robinson has had a great season, it was the first time Alabama really tried to establish the run against a good opponent from the moment the toe touched leather.

There’s no question that the passing game is the backbone of Alabama’s offense. However, the absence of wide receiver John Metchie III will likely be felt a lot more in this game than against the Bearcats. Expect Alabama to use Robinson a little earlier in the game to open up those passing lanes for WR Jameson Williams and the rest of the Crimson Tide passing attack.

The bogeyman: Georgia coach Kirby Smart doesn’t want to be part of the story where he becomes a stag when he faces Saban, his former boss, in big games. This may be newsflash, but it’s really tough to beat the greatest coach of all time who, not coincidentally, routinely drags down the top recruiting class in the nation.

“I don’t know exactly what that is, so it’s difficult for me to answer that question, other than that they have also been a problem and a thorn in any team that has played other than ours,” Smart said this week. “We have that in common with a lot of teams. They have played, they have a really good football team, a really good coach, a really good program. It starts with really good football players. And they have done a good job recruiting those players.” . And I think when you look at the skill set of some of the guys that they’ve been through there, and I know myself, just looking at the last two or three times we’ve played them, I think someone said six or they’ve played seven. wide receivers in the first round. “

How to watch Alabama vs. Georgia live

Play: National College Football Playoffs Championship
Date
: Monday, January 10 | Hour: 8 p.m. ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: ESPN | Live broadcast: fuboTV (Try it for free)

Alabama vs. Georgia prediction, picks

Featured game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Barret Sallee: Life’s best lessons come from failures, and Smart’s defense failed miserably against Alabama last month. That will not happen again. Georgia knows now that it has to build pressure in a variety of ways, so expect that pressure to come from multiple players both in the middle and on the edge so Young can’t lose control out of pocket. That will keep the game in Bennett’s wheelhouse and allow offensive coordinator Todd Monken to use all of his weapons in a variety of ways. Pick: Georgia -2.5 | Georgia 28, Alabama 20

Tom Fornelli: It is incredibly difficult to beat a good team once, and it is much more difficult to do it twice. The Dawgs know how Tide plans to attack and can counter or at least work through the issues exposed in the first match. If you are Alabama, you are not sure what to change because you don’t know what Georgia will do to change things. I hope Georgia looks for ways to put more pressure on Young by mixing coverage and throwing blitz. I also think Georgia could show a little more vanilla coverage in hopes of keeping Williams in front of them, limiting the big plays. It could invite Bama to run more than his RPO and eliminate the passing option, forcing the defending champions to run the ball straight into the defensive force. On the other hand, the Alabama defense did a great job of confusing Georgia quarterback Stetson Bennett in the first game, teasing him into two interceptions. I hope Georgia puts a little less on Bennett’s plate in this game. If Georgia can guard the ball and limit Alabama’s big plays, it will win. Pick: Georgia -2.5 | Georgia 28, Alabama 24

Dennis Dodd: Dawgs’ defense can’t be as bad as it was in the SEC title game. Smart will finally fight his way against the master. Remember this name Jack Podlesny. He will kick a game-winning field goal late. Then get ready to unleash the hounds when Georgia wins its first national championship in 41 years. Still, it will be within the number. Pick: Alabama +2.5 | Georgia 27, Alabama 25

Chip Patterson: Alabama’s lead against Georgia in this rematch stems from one of the same leads it had in the SEC Championship Game, not just as a quarterback or head coach, but from the experience this 2021 Crimson Tide team has. had during the year. While Georgia crushed its competition with little experience, Alabama had to win in different ways throughout the second half of the season. Crimson Tide has won low scoring grinders and high scoring shootouts. They needed a 97-yard touchdown drive to tie the game just to keep their title hopes alive. There are very few game scripts where Alabama finds itself in new territory, and that confidence in being able to overcome any setbacks in the game is a mental advantage that drives my choice. To choose: Alabama +2.5 | Alabama 28, Georgia 27

David cobb: Alabama’s back was against the wall when these teams met on Dec. 4 in the SEC Championship Game, and it showed. Crimson Tide converted into an all-time second quarter and raced to a 41-24 victory that delegitimized Georgia’s accomplishments during a dominant regular season. The nature of that loss, with Crimson Tide dissecting UGA’s celebrated defense, will motivate the Bulldogs, who will use what they learned to play much better defense in the rematch. This time around, it’s Georgia playing with a chip on their shoulder, and that will show that the Bulldogs will finally clinch the program’s first national championship in more than four decades. Pick: Georgia -2.5 | Georgia 38, Alabama 20

Shehan JeyarajáAlabama was the first team to truly challenge Georgia on the field, and the results speak for themselves. While Metchie is out, Brooks proved he can be a deep, game-breaking threat in a win over Cincinnati. While Georgia will make changes and have a solid game plan heading into the Dawgs’ biggest game in decades, I’m not betting against Saban in a tuning contest. Pick: Alabama +2.5 | Alabama 31, Georgia 17

Jerry palm: Alabama and Saban know how to do two things well: win championships and beat Georgia. The Tide is looking for a seventh straight win over the Dawgs. Georgia was torched in the teams’ first meeting in the SEC title game, but expect both teams to make adjustments for the rematch. I trust Saban to do the best. Pick: Alabama +2.5 | Alabama 31-21

Adam Silverstein: It’s not often that you have Saban and Alabama as underdogs, and while I’ll wait to try and get a full field goal before kickoff, the Tides are the right side. Georgia opened the eyes of some by strangling Michigan in the semifinal, while Alabama earned a 21-point victory, as I can recall, over Cincinnati. Anderson and Dean are a wash at linebacker. Georgia is stronger up front, but we’ve already seen him struggle to chase and contain Young. Bama has the overall advantage in offensive skill positions, and we’ve seen more than once how defenses can wear down with playmakers taking control late. The Dawgs will have every chance to compete and potentially win this game, but my slim lead goes to Tide. Pick: Alabama +2.5 | Alabama 31, Georgia 27

Jack crosby: Too often I’ve learned to rarely bet against Saban and Tide, no matter what the Vegas numbers suggest. Georgia was impressive in their Orange Bowl semifinal victory over Michigan, but I still can’t help the fact that just a few weeks ago we saw that Alabama knows how to tame the Bulldogs when it matters most. I look forward to a very competitive game, but I also see Alabama’s offensive line step up again, allowing Young to do his job and lead the Tide to their second straight national title in Indianapolis. Pick: Alabama +2.5 | Alabama 31, Georgia 21

Ben Kercheval: To be clear … if Georgia finally captures that elusive national championship for the first time in four decades, it won’t surprise me in the least given how impressive it looked all year except for that incident in Atlanta. But I’ve also seen what the Tides look like when they’re running at 100% power. I’ve seen Young make plays that don’t exist. If all other things are equal, and they are generally between these two titans, give me the best quarterback and the coach who has done it once or twice (or seven). Pick: Alabama +2.5 | Alabama 33, Georgia 28

More Picks and Expert Predictions to Come!

Who will win Alabama vs. Georgia in the National College Football Playoff Championship game, and which side of the difference has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find outAll from the advanced model that has returned nearly $ 3,600 in earnings over the past five seasons or more.

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